15–19 Jun 2026
Europe/Rome timezone

Seismic Waveforms as Tokens: Toward a Foundation Model for Ground Motion Forecasting

Not scheduled
1m
poster Poster Session Poster Session

Speaker

Waleed Esmail (University of Münster)

Description

Seismic forecasting is increasingly being approached as a sequence modeling problem, where modern architectures can directly learn the temporal dynamics of ground motion from raw waveform data. In this work, I introduce a transformer-based framework that treats seismic signals as autoregressive token sequences, enabling short-horizon forecasting. Continuous waveforms are converted into sequences via a simple patch-based tokenization, where fixed-length segments act as tokens, balancing computational efficiency with preservation of local waveform physics.

This approach is motivated by the Einstein Telescope, where low-frequency seismic noise is a dominant limitation. Reliable, low-latency forecasts enable active noise cancellation strategies that anticipate incoming wavefields before they couple into the interferometer.

I will show that transformer models operating on tokenized waveforms can learn meaningful spatio-temporal structure and discuss their extension toward a seismic foundation model.

Author

Waleed Esmail (University of Münster)

Presentation materials

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